MIA at SAS 87 104
Dallas at Phoenix
The chart above graphs odds data from Pinnacle Sports
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2006-2007 NBA season there have been 628 games where the closing line favored the away team by 4 to 6 points. In these games:
- The team like Dallas won the game 430 times (68.5%)
- The team like Phoenix won the game 198 times (31.5%)
- The team like Dallas did better against the spread,
going 330-287-11 (53.5% ATS).
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2008-2009 NBA season there have been 155 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Phoenix did better against the spread, going 81-70-4 (53.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.