Dallas at Houston: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Mar 24, 2012 8:00 pm - Houston, TX
Odds: Houston by 3, Total Points: 195

Matchup Menu: DAL @ HOU

More Games From Mar 24, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL HOU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting DAL HOU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 87.5 92.0
Field Goal % 48.1% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 48.8 55.3
2 Point Shooting % 58.5% 51.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 38.7 36.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 35.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 26.5 24.5
Free Throw % 75.6% 76.8%
Ball Control DAL HOU
Rebounds 50.9 51.5
Rebounds - Defensive 40.0 38.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 13.5
Turnovers 11.7 11.3
Blocked Shots 5.5 3.7
Steals 5.9 7.0
Fouls 17.5 20.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL HOU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with DAL HOU
2 Point Attempt 41.9% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 33.3% 30.7%
Player Fouled 19.6% 16.9%
Turnover 11.2% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL HOU
Shot Blocked 4.1% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 25.3%