Game Information
| Date | Wednesday, November 25, 2009 |
| Time | 8:30 PM |
| Location | Toyota Center, Houston, TX |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 717 | DAL | +4.0 | 199.0 | +158 |
| 718 | HOU | -4.0 | -175 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | Power Rating Model | Houston 66% odds to win | |
| Houston | Similar Games - Game Winners | Houston 59% odds to win | |
| Houston | Decision Tree | Houston 58% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL +4.0 | Power Rating Model | Dallas loses by 4.0 | |
| HOU -4.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Houston 55% odds to cover | |
| HOU -4.0 | Decision Tree | Houston 53% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 199.0 | Decision Tree | 51% odds to go over 199.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU -175 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 2% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | DAL | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.061 | 1.042 | |
| Effective FG % | 50.2% | 49.3% | |
| Turnover % | 11.7% | 12.8% | |
| Off Rebound % | 24.6% | 27.3% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.279 | 0.292 | |
| Points/Game | 101.7 | 101.7 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +2.0 | +0.3 | |
| SOS PR | 100.3 | 100.2 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | DAL | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.040 | 1.039 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.9% | 50.2% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 13.0% | 12.8% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.8% | 74.1% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.267 | 0.278 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 99.6 | 101.3 | |
| Block % | 6.6% | 4.8% | |
| Personal Foul % | 17.8% | 19.2% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | DAL | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 46-23 | 35-32 | |
| vs Division | 7-5 | 8-5 | |
| vs Conference | 24-16 | 25-18 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 24-11 | 20-15 | |
| Away | 22-12 | 15-17 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | DAL | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 28-40-1 | 31-36-0 | |
| vs Division | 4-7-1 | 8-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 15-24-1 | 23-20-0 | |
| Streak | L4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-6-1 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 7-27-1 | 16-19-0 | |
| Away | 21-13-0 | 15-17-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||