| Date | Sunday, November 15, 2009 |
| Time | 6:00 PM |
| Location | Palace of Auburn Hills, Auburn Hills, MI |
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 701 | DAL | -4.5 | 184.5 | -180 |
| 702 | DET | +4.5 | +162 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit | Power Rating Model | Detroit 52% odds to win | |
| Detroit | Similar Games - Game Winners | Detroit 59% odds to win | |
| Dallas | Decision Tree | Dallas 71% odds to win |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET +4.5 | Power Rating Model | Detroit wins by 0.5 | |
| DET +4.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Detroit 55% odds to cover | |
| DET +4.5 | Decision Tree | Detroit 51% odds to cover |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 184.5 | Decision Tree | 52% odds to go under 184.5 points |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET +162 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 14% different from model |
| Stat | DAL | adv | DET |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.061 | 1.017 | |
| Effective FG % | 50.2% | 47.0% | |
| Turnover % | 11.7% | 12.5% | |
| Off Rebound % | 24.6% | 31.0% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.279 | 0.307 | |
| Points/Game | 101.7 | 93.6 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +2.0 | -5.0 | |
| SOS PR | 100.3 | 99.6 |
| Stat | DAL | adv | DET |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.040 | 1.071 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.9% | 51.9% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 13.0% | 13.5% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.8% | 73.7% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.267 | 0.346 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 99.6 | 98.6 | |
| Block % | 6.6% | 5.2% | |
| Personal Foul % | 17.8% | 22.1% |
| Record | DAL | adv | DET |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 46-23 | 23-47 | |
| vs Division | 7-5 | 2-12 | |
| vs Conference | 24-16 | 15-27 | |
| Streak | L1 | L5 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 2-8 | |
| Home | 24-11 | 16-19 | |
| Away | 22-12 | 7-28 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
| Record | DAL | adv | DET |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 28-40-1 | 28-40-2 | |
| vs Division | 4-7-1 | 3-10-1 | |
| vs Conference | 15-24-1 | 16-24-2 | |
| Streak | L4 | L5 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 0-5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-6-1 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 7-27-1 | 15-19-1 | |
| Away | 21-13-0 | 13-21-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||