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Dallas at Denver

  Wednesday Feb 8, 2012 - 9:00 pm - Denver, CO | Odds: Denver by 1, Total Points: 195.5 | Team Pages: DAL | DEN

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL DEN
Points 95.9 86.4
Total Points   182.3
Points From 2-Pointers 58.7 30.6
Points From 3-Pointers 20.1 36.0
Points From Free Throws 17.1 19.7

Shooting DAL DEN
Field Goals Made 36.1 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 79.4 76.6
Field Goal % 45.4% 35.7%
2 Pointers Made 29.3 15.3
2 Pointers Attempted 53.6 46.5
2 Point Shooting % 54.8% 33.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 12.0
3 Pointers Attempted 25.8 30.1
3 Point Shooting % 26.0% 39.9%
Free Throws Made 17.1 19.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 26.6
Free Throw % 81.5% 74.2%

Ball Control DAL DEN
Rebounds 38.1 60.7
Rebounds - Defensive 29.0 36.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 24.1
Turnovers 10.9 21.5
Blocked Shots 2.9 1.0
Steals 7.3 5.4
Fouls 18.7 18.4

Playing Style Advantage: Denver

Expected Effect: +1.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL DEN
Total Possessions 94.4
Effective Scoring Chances 92.6 97.0

% of Possessions with DAL DEN
2 Point Attempt 51.6% 38.8%
3 Point Attempt 24.9% 25.1%
Player Fouled 19.5% 19.8%
Turnover 11.5% 22.8%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 7.8%

Odds Per Shot Taken DAL DEN
Shot Blocked 1.4% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 20.0% 45.5%