Game Information
| Date | Wednesday, November 4, 2009 |
| Time | 9:30 PM |
| Location | New Orleans Arena, New Orleans, LA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 515 | DAL | +4.0 | 189.0 | +163 |
| 516 | NOR | -4.0 | -173 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas | Power Rating Model | Dallas 59% odds to win | |
| New Orleans | Similar Games - Game Winners | New Orleans 69% odds to win | |
| Dallas | Decision Tree | Dallas 52% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL +4.0 | Power Rating Model | Dallas wins by 2.2 | |
| NOR -4.0 | Similar Games - ATS | New Orleans 51% odds to cover | |
| DAL +4.0 | Decision Tree | Dallas 55% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 189.0 | Decision Tree | 52% odds to go over 189.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL +163 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 21% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | DAL | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.061 | 1.040 | |
| Effective FG % | 50.2% | 50.1% | |
| Turnover % | 11.7% | 12.1% | |
| Off Rebound % | 24.6% | 24.9% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.279 | 0.242 | |
| Points/Game | 101.7 | 99.8 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +2.0 | -2.6 | |
| SOS PR | 100.3 | 100.1 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | DAL | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.040 | 1.067 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.9% | 51.9% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 13.0% | 12.9% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.8% | 73.8% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.267 | 0.270 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 99.6 | 102.4 | |
| Block % | 6.6% | 4.5% | |
| Personal Foul % | 17.8% | 18.3% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | DAL | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 46-23 | 33-38 | |
| vs Division | 7-5 | 5-8 | |
| vs Conference | 24-16 | 22-23 | |
| Streak | L1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 2-8 | |
| Home | 24-11 | 21-12 | |
| Away | 22-12 | 12-26 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | DAL | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 28-40-1 | 32-38-1 | |
| vs Division | 4-7-1 | 5-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 15-24-1 | 18-26-1 | |
| Streak | L4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-6-1 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 7-27-1 | 14-19-0 | |
| Away | 21-13-0 | 18-19-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||