Game Information
| Date | Friday, December 11, 2009 |
| Time | 7:30 PM |
| Location | American Airlines Arena, Miami, FL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 707 | DAL | -1.5 | 193.5 | -123 |
| 708 | MIA | +1.5 | +111 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | Power Rating Model | Miami 51% odds to win | |
| Dallas | Similar Games - Game Winners | Dallas 54% odds to win | |
| Dallas | Decision Tree | Dallas 53% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL +1.0 | Power Rating Model | Dallas loses by 0.3 | |
| MIA +1.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Miami 64% odds to cover | |
| DAL -1.5 | Decision Tree | Dallas 58% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 193.5 | Decision Tree | 54% odds to go under 193.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA -105 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 0% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | DAL | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.061 | 1.029 | |
| Effective FG % | 50.2% | 49.0% | |
| Turnover % | 11.7% | 11.7% | |
| Off Rebound % | 24.6% | 25.8% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.279 | 0.295 | |
| Points/Game | 101.7 | 96.0 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +2.0 | +1.0 | |
| SOS PR | 100.3 | 100.4 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | DAL | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.040 | 1.018 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.9% | 48.2% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 13.0% | 13.4% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.8% | 74.9% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.267 | 0.328 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 99.6 | 94.9 | |
| Block % | 6.6% | 7.2% | |
| Personal Foul % | 17.8% | 20.3% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | DAL | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 46-23 | 36-34 | |
| vs Division | 7-5 | 9-7 | |
| vs Conference | 24-16 | 22-19 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 24-11 | 21-16 | |
| Away | 22-12 | 15-18 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | DAL | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 28-40-1 | 34-35-1 | |
| vs Division | 4-7-1 | 8-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 15-24-1 | 20-20-1 | |
| Streak | L4 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 3-6-1 | 5-4-1 | |
| Home | 7-27-1 | 17-19-1 | |
| Away | 21-13-0 | 17-16-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||