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Dallas at Atlanta

  Thursday Apr 26, 2012 - 8:00 pm - Atlanta, GA | Odds: Atlanta by 5, Total Points: 194 | Team Pages: DAL | ATL

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL ATL
Points 119.6 111.5
Total Points   231.1
Points From 2-Pointers 63.3 32.8
Points From 3-Pointers 22.4 70.4
Points From Free Throws 33.9 8.3

Shooting DAL ATL
Field Goals Made 39.1 39.9
Field Goals Attempted 82.0 74.4
Field Goal % 47.7% 53.6%
2 Pointers Made 31.7 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 58.5 44.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.1% 36.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 23.5
3 Pointers Attempted 23.5 30.0
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 78.3%
Free Throws Made 33.9 8.3
Free Throws Attempted 41.6 15.7
Free Throw % 81.5% 52.9%

Ball Control DAL ATL
Rebounds 48.0 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 28.6 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 19.4 9.7
Turnovers 4.2 18.5
Blocked Shots 6.4 0.1
Steals 12.1 3.4
Fouls 15.6 21.9

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +10.0 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL ATL
Total Possessions 92.4
Effective Scoring Chances 107.6 83.7

% of Possessions with DAL ATL
2 Point Attempt 52.3% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 21.0% 28.6%
Player Fouled 23.8% 16.9%
Turnover 4.6% 20.0%
Opponent Steal 3.7% 13.1%

Odds Per Shot Taken DAL ATL
Shot Blocked 0.2% 7.8%
Offensive Rebound 40.7% 25.4%