| Date | Saturday, November 28, 2009 |
| Time | 7:30 PM |
| Location | Quicken Loans Arena, Cleveland, OH |
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 503 | DAL | +6.5 | 194.0 | +222 |
| 504 | CLE | -6.5 | -250 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas | Power Rating Model | Dallas 50% odds to win | |
| Cleveland | Similar Games - Game Winners | Cleveland 76% odds to win | |
| Cleveland | Decision Tree | Cleveland 67% odds to win |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL +6.5 | Power Rating Model | Dallas wins by 0.1 | |
| CLE -6.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Cleveland 61% odds to cover | |
| CLE -6.5 | Decision Tree | Cleveland 51% odds to cover |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 194.0 | Decision Tree | 56% odds to go under 194.0 points |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL +235 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 20% different from model |
| Stat | DAL | adv | CLE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.062 | 1.088 | |
| Effective FG % | 50.3% | 53.6% | |
| Turnover % | 11.6% | 12.7% | |
| Off Rebound % | 24.6% | 25.3% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.280 | 0.341 | |
| Points/Game | 101.8 | 102.3 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +2.2 | +7.2 | |
| SOS PR | 100.3 | 100.1 |
| Stat | DAL | adv | CLE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.039 | 1.012 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.8% | 47.8% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.9% | 11.7% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.7% | 77.0% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.267 | 0.295 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 99.6 | 95.1 | |
| Block % | 6.7% | 6.8% | |
| Personal Foul % | 17.7% | 18.9% |
| Record | DAL | adv | CLE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 46-22 | 54-15 | |
| vs Division | 7-5 | 9-2 | |
| vs Conference | 24-16 | 33-9 | |
| Streak | W1 | W5 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 9-1 | 9-1 | |
| Home | 24-10 | 30-4 | |
| Away | 22-12 | 24-11 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
| Record | DAL | adv | CLE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 28-39-1 | 35-33-1 | |
| vs Division | 4-7-1 | 6-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 15-24-1 | 21-21-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 7-26-1 | 15-19-0 | |
| Away | 21-13-0 | 20-14-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||