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Orlando at Denver

  Sunday Apr 22, 2012 - 8:00 pm - Denver, CO | Odds: Denver by 11, Total Points: 205 | Team Pages: ORL | DEN

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORL DEN
Points 98.6 119.7
Total Points   218.3
Points From 2-Pointers 76.1 83.3
Points From 3-Pointers 10.2 9.1
Points From Free Throws 12.3 27.3

Shooting ORL DEN
Field Goals Made 41.4 44.7
Field Goals Attempted 84.6 92.2
Field Goal % 49.0% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made 38.0 41.7
2 Pointers Attempted 71.4 75.2
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 55.4%
3 Pointers Made 3.4 3.0
3 Pointers Attempted 13.3 16.9
3 Point Shooting % 25.6% 17.9%
Free Throws Made 12.3 27.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.2 36.8
Free Throw % 76.2% 74.2%

Ball Control ORL DEN
Rebounds 40.7 55.6
Rebounds - Defensive 32.1 35.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 20.5
Turnovers 16.4 6.7
Blocked Shots 5.8 11.9
Steals 1.9 7.7
Fouls 23.0 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Orlando

Expected Effect: +4.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORL DEN
Total Possessions 99.5
Effective Scoring Chances 91.7 113.3

% of Possessions with ORL DEN
2 Point Attempt 63.2% 61.5%
3 Point Attempt 11.7% 13.8%
Player Fouled 14.0% 23.1%
Turnover 16.5% 6.7%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 1.9%

Odds Per Shot Taken ORL DEN
Shot Blocked 13.2% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 19.7% 39.0%