Game Information
| Date | Thursday, November 26, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | Philips Arena, Atlanta, GA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 501 | ORL | +3.5 | 199.0 | +132 |
| 502 | ATL | -3.5 | -146 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | Power Rating Model | Atlanta 67% odds to win | |
| Atlanta | Similar Games - Game Winners | Atlanta 60% odds to win | |
| Atlanta | Decision Tree | Atlanta 58% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATL -1.5 | Power Rating Model | Atlanta wins by 4.4 | |
| ORL +3.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Orlando 72% odds to cover | |
| ATL -3.5 | Decision Tree | Atlanta 50% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| Over 199.0 | Decision Tree | 53% odds to go over 199.0 points | |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATL -146 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 7% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | ORL | adv | ATL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.070 | 1.086 | |
| Effective FG % | 52.7% | 50.2% | |
| Turnover % | 13.2% | 10.8% | |
| Off Rebound % | 24.3% | 28.0% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.343 | 0.292 | |
| Points/Game | 101.9 | 102.1 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +6.8 | +4.5 | |
| SOS PR | 100.2 | 100.3 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | ORL | adv | ATL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 0.999 | 1.037 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 47.5% | 50.1% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 11.7% | 12.9% | |
| Def Rebound % | 77.5% | 72.7% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.274 | 0.276 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 95.1 | 97.6 | |
| Block % | 6.7% | 6.3% | |
| Personal Foul % | 19.1% | 19.0% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | ORL | adv | ATL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 46-20 | 41-23 | |
| vs Division | 7-4 | 5-7 | |
| vs Conference | 31-11 | 22-14 | |
| Streak | W7 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 9-1 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 27-6 | 25-7 | |
| Away | 19-14 | 16-16 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | ORL | adv | ATL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 35-30-1 | 36-28-0 | |
| vs Division | 6-5-0 | 4-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 24-18-0 | 21-15-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 19-14-0 | 19-13-0 | |
| Away | 16-16-1 | 17-15-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||