Game Information
| Date | Friday, November 20, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | TD Banknorth Garden, Boston, MA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 509 | ORL | +6.0 | 190.5 | +228 |
| 510 | BOS | -6.0 | -257 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boston | Power Rating Model | Boston 63% odds to win | |
| Boston | Similar Games - Game Winners | Boston 71% odds to win | |
| Boston | Decision Tree | Boston 67% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORL +6.0 | Power Rating Model | Orlando loses by 3.2 | |
| ORL +6.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Orlando 58% odds to cover | |
| ORL +6.0 | Decision Tree | Orlando 52% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 190.5 | Decision Tree | 52% odds to go under 190.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORL +218 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 6% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | ORL | adv | BOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.073 | 1.046 | |
| Effective FG % | 52.9% | 52.5% | |
| Turnover % | 13.2% | 14.0% | |
| Off Rebound % | 24.5% | 22.6% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.343 | 0.330 | |
| Points/Game | 102.0 | 98.8 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +6.9 | +4.7 | |
| SOS PR | 100.2 | 100.2 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | ORL | adv | BOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.000 | 0.997 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 47.5% | 48.2% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 11.6% | 14.5% | |
| Def Rebound % | 77.3% | 74.1% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.272 | 0.332 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 95.1 | 94.1 | |
| Block % | 6.7% | 6.4% | |
| Personal Foul % | 19.1% | 20.7% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | ORL | adv | BOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 49-21 | 45-24 | |
| vs Division | 9-5 | 12-2 | |
| vs Conference | 33-12 | 30-15 | |
| Streak | W2 | W4 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 9-1 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 28-7 | 21-12 | |
| Away | 21-14 | 24-12 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | ORL | adv | BOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 38-31-1 | 29-38-2 | |
| vs Division | 8-6-0 | 7-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 26-19-0 | 21-23-1 | |
| Streak | W2 | W4 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 6-3-1 | |
| Home | 20-15-0 | 10-22-1 | |
| Away | 18-16-1 | 19-16-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||