LA Lakers at Phoenix

  Saturday Apr 7, 2012 - 10:00 pm - Phoenix, AZ | Odds: Los Angeles by 1, Total Points: 198.5 | Team Pages: LAL | PHX

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL PHX
Points 88.2 158.5
Total Points   246.7
Points From 2-Pointers 61.3 43.5
Points From 3-Pointers 5.6 106.1
Points From Free Throws 21.2 8.8

Shooting LAL PHX
Field Goals Made 32.5 57.1
Field Goals Attempted 84.7 85.8
Field Goal % 38.4% 66.6%
2 Pointers Made 30.7 21.8
2 Pointers Attempted 76.6 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 40.1% 59.1%
3 Pointers Made 1.9 35.4
3 Pointers Attempted 8.1 49.0
3 Point Shooting % 23.1% 72.1%
Free Throws Made 21.2 8.8
Free Throws Attempted 26.0 12.2
Free Throw % 81.7% 72.2%

Ball Control LAL PHX
Rebounds 37.7 47.7
Rebounds - Defensive 22.2 39.3
Rebounds - Offensive 15.5 8.4
Turnovers 12.2 13.0
Blocked Shots 2.2 2.0
Steals 8.3 3.6
Fouls 15.2 25.7

Playing Style Advantage: Phoenix

Expected Effect: +6.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL PHX
Total Possessions 98.0
Effective Scoring Chances 101.3 93.5

% of Possessions with LAL PHX
2 Point Attempt 67.0% 34.3%
3 Point Attempt 7.1% 45.7%
Player Fouled 26.2% 15.5%
Turnover 12.4% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 3.7% 8.5%

Odds Per Shot Taken LAL PHX
Shot Blocked 2.4% 2.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.3% 27.6%