LA Lakers at Houston

  Tuesday Mar 20, 2012 - 8:00 pm - Houston, TX | Odds: Los Angeles by 3, Total Points: 191 | Team Pages: LAL | HOU

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL HOU
Points 84.1 130.8
Total Points   214.9
Points From 2-Pointers 43.5 23.1
Points From 3-Pointers 4.0 64.6
Points From Free Throws 36.6 43.1

Shooting LAL HOU
Field Goals Made 23.1 33.1
Field Goals Attempted 71.3 61.1
Field Goal % 32.4% 54.1%
2 Pointers Made 21.8 11.5
2 Pointers Attempted 65.4 25.6
2 Point Shooting % 33.3% 45.1%
3 Pointers Made 1.3 21.5
3 Pointers Attempted 5.9 35.5
3 Point Shooting % 22.3% 60.6%
Free Throws Made 36.6 43.1
Free Throws Attempted 44.8 61.8
Free Throw % 81.7% 69.7%

Ball Control LAL HOU
Rebounds 37.6 55.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 39.5
Rebounds - Offensive 13.6 15.7
Turnovers 10.4 12.2
Blocked Shots 2.1 1.5
Steals 6.2 4.9
Fouls 28.2 30.8

Playing Style Advantage: Houston

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL HOU
Total Possessions 95.7
Effective Scoring Chances 98.9 99.2

% of Possessions with LAL HOU
2 Point Attempt 59.4% 22.8%
3 Point Attempt 5.4% 31.7%
Player Fouled 32.2% 29.5%
Turnover 10.9% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 6.5%

Odds Per Shot Taken LAL HOU
Shot Blocked 2.5% 2.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 39.5%