Game Information
| Date | Wednesday, November 4, 2009 |
| Time | 8:30 PM |
| Location | Toyota Center, Houston, TX |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 513 | LAL | -1.5 | 202.5 | -120 |
| 514 | HOU | +1.5 | +110 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | Power Rating Model | Houston 60% odds to win | |
| Houston | Similar Games - Game Winners | Houston 55% odds to win | |
| LA Lakers | Decision Tree | LA Lakers 52% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU +1.5 | Power Rating Model | Houston wins by 2.3 | |
| LAL -1.5 | Similar Games - ATS | LA Lakers 51% odds to cover | |
| HOU +1.5 | Decision Tree | Houston 51% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 202.5 | Decision Tree | 54% odds to go over 202.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU +110 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 12% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | LAL | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.061 | 1.042 | |
| Effective FG % | 49.9% | 49.2% | |
| Turnover % | 12.0% | 12.7% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.4% | 27.4% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.287 | 0.291 | |
| Points/Game | 103.0 | 101.8 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +6.0 | +0.2 | |
| SOS PR | 100.7 | 100.3 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | LAL | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 0.999 | 1.040 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 48.0% | 50.3% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.7% | 12.8% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.6% | 74.2% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.266 | 0.279 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 97.0 | 101.6 | |
| Block % | 5.9% | 4.7% | |
| Personal Foul % | 18.0% | 19.3% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | LAL | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 50-18 | 34-31 | |
| vs Division | 12-2 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 29-11 | 24-18 | |
| Streak | W4 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 30-5 | 19-14 | |
| Away | 20-13 | 15-17 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | LAL | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 29-36-3 | 30-35-0 | |
| vs Division | 7-7-0 | 7-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 17-22-1 | 22-20-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 15-18-2 | 15-18-0 | |
| Away | 14-18-1 | 15-17-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||