| Date | Friday, November 13, 2009 |
| Time | 10:30 PM |
| Location | Pepsi Center, Denver, CO |
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 715 | LAL | +4.0 | 211.5 | +162 |
| 716 | DEN | -4.0 | -180 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver | Power Rating Model | Denver 59% odds to win | |
| Denver | Similar Games - Game Winners | Denver 69% odds to win | |
| Denver | Decision Tree | Denver 56% odds to win |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAL +4.0 | Power Rating Model | LA Lakers loses by 2.0 | |
| LAL +4.0 | Similar Games - ATS | LA Lakers 53% odds to cover | |
| LAL +4.0 | Decision Tree | LA Lakers 51% odds to cover |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 211.5 | Decision Tree | 53% odds to go over 211.5 points |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAL +162 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 3% different from model |
| Stat | LAL | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.060 | 1.090 | |
| Effective FG % | 49.8% | 51.4% | |
| Turnover % | 12.0% | 12.8% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.4% | 26.5% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.289 | 0.381 | |
| Points/Game | 103.0 | 107.7 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +6.0 | +5.3 | |
| SOS PR | 100.6 | 100.4 |
| Stat | LAL | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 0.998 | 1.036 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 48.0% | 49.4% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.7% | 13.2% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.5% | 72.6% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.263 | 0.321 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 97.0 | 102.3 | |
| Block % | 5.8% | 6.1% | |
| Personal Foul % | 18.0% | 20.3% |
| Record | LAL | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 51-18 | 47-22 | |
| vs Division | 12-2 | 10-4 | |
| vs Conference | 30-11 | 29-15 | |
| Streak | W5 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 31-5 | 30-5 | |
| Away | 20-13 | 17-17 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
| Record | LAL | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 29-37-3 | 31-33-5 | |
| vs Division | 7-7-0 | 6-5-3 | |
| vs Conference | 17-23-1 | 18-21-5 | |
| Streak | L1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 15-19-2 | 17-17-1 | |
| Away | 14-18-1 | 14-16-4 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||