LA Lakers at New Orleans

  Wednesday Mar 14, 2012 - 8:00 pm - New Orleans, LA | Odds: Los Angeles by 4, Total Points: 180.5 | Team Pages: LAL | NOH

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL NOH
Points 58.7 91.1
Total Points   149.8
Points From 2-Pointers 27.0 40.7
Points From 3-Pointers 5.9 23.7
Points From Free Throws 25.7 26.7

Shooting LAL NOH
Field Goals Made 15.5 28.2
Field Goals Attempted 86.1 96.9
Field Goal % 18.0% 29.2%
2 Pointers Made 13.5 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 80.2 72.0
2 Point Shooting % 16.8% 28.2%
3 Pointers Made 2.0 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 5.9 24.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 31.8%
Free Throws Made 25.7 26.7
Free Throws Attempted 31.5 55.2
Free Throw % 81.7% 48.4%

Ball Control LAL NOH
Rebounds 66.6 91.2
Rebounds - Defensive 46.0 51.2
Rebounds - Offensive 20.7 39.9
Turnovers 13.6 6.4
Blocked Shots 4.0 9.8
Steals 3.7 6.8
Fouls 23.7 18.3

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: +1.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL NOH
Total Possessions 97.3
Effective Scoring Chances 104.4 130.9

% of Possessions with LAL NOH
2 Point Attempt 65.8% 51.9%
3 Point Attempt 4.8% 17.9%
Player Fouled 18.9% 24.4%
Turnover 14.0% 6.5%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 3.9%

Odds Per Shot Taken LAL NOH
Shot Blocked 10.2% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 28.7% 46.5%