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LA Lakers at Miami

  Thursday Jan 19, 2012 - 8:00 pm - Miami, FL | Odds: Miami by 5.5, Total Points: 191.5 | Team Pages: LAL | MIA

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL MIA
Points 89.5 129.0
Total Points   218.4
Points From 2-Pointers 49.7 53.0
Points From 3-Pointers 9.4 40.0
Points From Free Throws 30.4 36.0

Shooting LAL MIA
Field Goals Made 28.0 39.8
Field Goals Attempted 75.3 84.4
Field Goal % 37.1% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 24.8 26.5
2 Pointers Attempted 61.5 47.8
2 Point Shooting % 40.4% 55.4%
3 Pointers Made 3.1 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 13.8 36.6
3 Point Shooting % 22.5% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 30.4 36.0
Free Throws Attempted 37.2 41.4
Free Throw % 81.7% 87.0%

Ball Control LAL MIA
Rebounds 37.7 61.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 37.9
Rebounds - Offensive 13.3 23.5
Turnovers 10.6 8.2
Blocked Shots 1.8 2.8
Steals 5.1 7.3
Fouls 19.0 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL MIA
Total Possessions 95.2
Effective Scoring Chances 98.0 110.4

% of Possessions with LAL MIA
2 Point Attempt 56.1% 40.1%
3 Point Attempt 12.6% 30.7%
Player Fouled 18.7% 20.0%
Turnover 11.1% 8.6%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 5.3%

Odds Per Shot Taken LAL MIA
Shot Blocked 3.4% 2.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 49.1%