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New York at Miami

  Wednesday May 9, 2012 - 7:00 pm - Miami, FL | Odds: Miami by 11.5, Total Points: 183 | Team Pages: NYK | MIA

Box Score Projection

Scoring NYK MIA
Points 72.2 101.0
Total Points   173.1
Points From 2-Pointers 49.2 47.7
Points From 3-Pointers 7.8 27.5
Points From Free Throws 15.1 25.8

Shooting NYK MIA
Field Goals Made 27.2 33.0
Field Goals Attempted 78.4 71.1
Field Goal % 34.7% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 24.6 23.8
2 Pointers Attempted 63.1 39.0
2 Point Shooting % 39.0% 61.1%
3 Pointers Made 2.6 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 15.4 32.1
3 Point Shooting % 17.0% 28.6%
Free Throws Made 15.1 25.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 29.7
Free Throw % 88.2% 87.0%

Ball Control NYK MIA
Rebounds 37.0 55.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 42.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 12.5
Turnovers 10.1 12.5
Blocked Shots 1.8 1.8
Steals 7.3 9.5
Fouls 18.0 12.7

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: +0.9 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NYK MIA
Total Possessions 89.9
Effective Scoring Chances 89.0 89.8

% of Possessions with NYK MIA
2 Point Attempt 63.1% 37.8%
3 Point Attempt 15.4% 31.1%
Player Fouled 14.1% 20.1%
Turnover 11.3% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 10.5% 8.1%

Odds Per Shot Taken NYK MIA
Shot Blocked 2.6% 2.4%
Offensive Rebound 17.7% 31.0%