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New York at Miami

  Saturday Apr 28, 2012 - 3:30 pm - Miami, FL | Odds: Miami by 9, Total Points: 187.5 | Team Pages: NYK | MIA

Box Score Projection

Scoring NYK MIA
Points 90.1 102.0
Total Points   192.1
Points From 2-Pointers 66.5 52.9
Points From 3-Pointers 7.6 28.5
Points From Free Throws 15.9 20.6

Shooting NYK MIA
Field Goals Made 35.8 36.0
Field Goals Attempted 77.5 77.5
Field Goal % 46.2% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 33.3 26.4
2 Pointers Attempted 63.6 46.1
2 Point Shooting % 52.3% 57.4%
3 Pointers Made 2.5 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 14.0 31.4
3 Point Shooting % 18.2% 30.3%
Free Throws Made 15.9 20.6
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 23.7
Free Throw % 85.5% 87.0%

Ball Control NYK MIA
Rebounds 37.4 48.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 30.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 17.5
Turnovers 11.4 13.3
Blocked Shots 4.7 3.0
Steals 7.0 7.7
Fouls 16.0 11.4

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: +2.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NYK MIA
Total Possessions 88.4
Effective Scoring Chances 89.1 92.7

% of Possessions with NYK MIA
2 Point Attempt 62.5% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 13.7% 29.1%
Player Fouled 12.9% 18.1%
Turnover 12.9% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 7.9%

Odds Per Shot Taken NYK MIA
Shot Blocked 4.0% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.3% 41.0%