Game Information
| Date | Saturday, December 5, 2009 |
| Time | 9:00 PM |
| Location | US Airways Center, Phoenix, AZ |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 709 | SAC | +11.5 | 224.5 | +704 |
| 710 | PHO | -11.5 | -900 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix | Power Rating Model | Phoenix 71% odds to win | |
| Phoenix | Similar Games - Game Winners | Phoenix 84% odds to win | |
| Phoenix | Decision Tree | Phoenix 80% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAC +11.5 | Power Rating Model | Sacramento loses by 6.0 | |
| SAC +11.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Sacramento 56% odds to cover | |
| PHO -11.5 | Decision Tree | Phoenix 52% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 224.5 | Decision Tree | 53% odds to go under 224.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAC +704 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 16% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | SAC | adv | PHO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.027 | 1.115 | |
| Effective FG % | 49.2% | 54.3% | |
| Turnover % | 13.0% | 13.1% | |
| Off Rebound % | 28.1% | 27.7% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.298 | 0.310 | |
| Points/Game | 100.9 | 110.1 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -4.1 | +4.0 | |
| SOS PR | 100.0 | 100.4 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | SAC | adv | PHO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.069 | 1.075 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 50.3% | 49.4% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.1% | 11.1% | |
| Def Rebound % | 72.8% | 70.5% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.324 | 0.294 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 105.0 | 106.0 | |
| Block % | 5.5% | 6.0% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.8% | 18.5% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | SAC | adv | PHO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 23-46 | 43-26 | |
| vs Division | 3-10 | 11-4 | |
| vs Conference | 14-29 | 28-16 | |
| Streak | L2 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 17-18 | 27-9 | |
| Away | 6-28 | 16-17 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | SAC | adv | PHO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 34-32-3 | 40-29-0 | |
| vs Division | 4-9-0 | 8-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 24-16-3 | 27-17-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 16-18-1 | 21-15-0 | |
| Away | 18-14-2 | 19-14-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||