Game Information
| Date | Saturday, October 31, 2009 |
| Time | 8:30 PM |
| Location | AT&T Center, San Antonio, TX |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 511 | SAC | +16.5 | 201.5 | +2150 |
| 512 | SAN | -16.5 | -2750 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio | Power Rating Model | San Antonio 81% odds to win | |
| San Antonio | Similar Games - Game Winners | San Antonio 68% odds to win | |
| San Antonio | Decision Tree | San Antonio 83% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAC +16.5 | Power Rating Model | Sacramento loses by 10.2 | |
| SAN -16.5 | Similar Games - ATS | San Antonio 55% odds to cover | |
| SAC +16.5 | Decision Tree | Sacramento 53% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 201.5 | Decision Tree | 51% odds to go under 201.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAC +2150 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 14% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | SAC | adv | SAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.027 | 1.071 | |
| Effective FG % | 49.3% | 51.6% | |
| Turnover % | 13.0% | 12.2% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.9% | 26.7% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.298 | 0.289 | |
| Points/Game | 100.9 | 101.4 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -3.9 | +4.9 | |
| SOS PR | 100.0 | 100.3 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | SAC | adv | SAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.067 | 1.020 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 50.2% | 48.4% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.1% | 11.6% | |
| Def Rebound % | 72.9% | 76.3% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.324 | 0.282 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 104.8 | 96.6 | |
| Block % | 5.5% | 5.8% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.8% | 19.4% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | SAC | adv | SAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 24-46 | 41-27 | |
| vs Division | 4-10 | 8-5 | |
| vs Conference | 15-29 | 25-17 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 17-18 | 25-10 | |
| Away | 7-28 | 16-17 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | SAC | adv | SAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 35-32-3 | 34-33-1 | |
| vs Division | 5-9-0 | 8-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 25-16-3 | 22-19-1 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 16-18-1 | 20-14-1 | |
| Away | 19-14-2 | 14-19-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||