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Sacramento at Charlotte

  Sunday Apr 22, 2012 - 6:00 pm - Charlotte, NC | Odds: Sacramento by 4.5, Total Points: 196.5 | Team Pages: SAC | CHA

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC CHA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting SAC CHA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 81.7 86.5
Field Goal % 43.6% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 65.7 66.8
2 Point Shooting % 46.3% 48.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.0 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 31.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 27.5 24.3
Free Throw % 78.1% 75.0%

Ball Control SAC CHA
Rebounds 50.4 49.3
Rebounds - Defensive 40.1 38.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 11.1
Turnovers 13.0 10.0
Blocked Shots 4.1 7.4
Steals 4.7 6.1
Fouls 19.6 20.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC CHA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with SAC CHA
2 Point Attempt 58.2% 59.5%
3 Point Attempt 14.2% 17.6%
Player Fouled 20.3% 19.7%
Turnover 13.1% 10.0%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 4.7%

Odds Per Shot Taken SAC CHA
Shot Blocked 8.7% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 21.3% 21.6%