Game Information
| Date | Thursday, November 19, 2009 |
| Time | 8:30 PM |
| Location | AT&T Center, San Antonio, TX |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 703 | UTA | +4.5 | 196.0 | +166 |
| 704 | SAN | -4.5 | -185 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio | Power Rating Model | San Antonio 66% odds to win | |
| San Antonio | Similar Games - Game Winners | San Antonio 74% odds to win | |
| San Antonio | Decision Tree | San Antonio 66% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTA +5.0 | Power Rating Model | Utah loses by 4.1 | |
| SAN -4.5 | Similar Games - ATS | San Antonio 52% odds to cover | |
| SAN -4.5 | Decision Tree | San Antonio 56% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 196.0 | Decision Tree | 54% odds to go under 196.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAN -191 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 0% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | UTA | adv | SAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.080 | 1.065 | |
| Effective FG % | 52.3% | 51.2% | |
| Turnover % | 13.3% | 12.3% | |
| Off Rebound % | 26.7% | 26.6% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.342 | 0.287 | |
| Points/Game | 103.6 | 100.6 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +5.6 | +4.6 | |
| SOS PR | 100.7 | 100.3 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | UTA | adv | SAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.021 | 1.016 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.1% | 48.3% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 13.5% | 11.7% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.9% | 76.3% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.351 | 0.283 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 98.0 | 95.9 | |
| Block % | 6.4% | 5.8% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.9% | 19.6% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | UTA | adv | SAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 44-24 | 40-26 | |
| vs Division | 7-8 | 8-5 | |
| vs Conference | 26-17 | 24-17 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 27-8 | 24-10 | |
| Away | 17-16 | 16-16 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | UTA | adv | SAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 42-23-3 | 33-32-1 | |
| vs Division | 6-7-2 | 8-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 25-16-2 | 21-19-1 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 23-10-2 | 19-14-1 | |
| Away | 19-13-1 | 14-18-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||