Game Information
| Date | Wednesday, October 28, 2009 |
| Time | 10:30 PM |
| Location | Pepsi Center, Denver, CO |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 719 | UTA | +5.0 | 209.0 | +195 |
| 720 | DEN | -5.0 | -215 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver | Power Rating Model | Denver 66% odds to win | |
| Denver | Similar Games - Game Winners | Denver 67% odds to win | |
| Denver | Decision Tree | Denver 57% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTA +5.0 | Power Rating Model | Utah loses by 4.1 | |
| DEN -5.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Denver 51% odds to cover | |
| UTA +5.0 | Decision Tree | Utah 54% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 209.0 | Decision Tree | 52% odds to go under 209.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTA +195 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 0% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | UTA | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.079 | 1.089 | |
| Effective FG % | 52.2% | 51.2% | |
| Turnover % | 13.3% | 12.7% | |
| Off Rebound % | 26.9% | 26.7% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.343 | 0.381 | |
| Points/Game | 103.6 | 107.5 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +5.6 | +5.2 | |
| SOS PR | 100.7 | 100.4 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | UTA | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.021 | 1.036 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.2% | 49.4% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 13.7% | 13.2% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.8% | 72.7% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.351 | 0.322 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 98.0 | 102.3 | |
| Block % | 6.3% | 6.1% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.9% | 20.4% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | UTA | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 45-25 | 47-23 | |
| vs Division | 7-8 | 10-4 | |
| vs Conference | 27-18 | 29-15 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 28-8 | 30-6 | |
| Away | 17-17 | 17-17 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | UTA | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 43-24-3 | 31-34-5 | |
| vs Division | 6-7-2 | 6-5-3 | |
| vs Conference | 26-17-2 | 18-21-5 | |
| Streak | W1 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 24-10-2 | 17-18-1 | |
| Away | 19-14-1 | 14-16-4 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||