New Orleans at Golden State

  Wednesday Mar 28, 2012 - 10:30 pm - Oakland, CA | Odds: Golden State by 2.5, Total Points: 190 | Team Pages: NOH | GSW

Box Score Projection

Scoring NOH GSW
Points 51.8 49.3
Total Points   101.0
Points From 2-Pointers 22.9 18.9
Points From 3-Pointers 5.6 10.4
Points From Free Throws 23.3 20.1

Shooting NOH GSW
Field Goals Made 13.3 12.9
Field Goals Attempted 103.3 77.1
Field Goal % 12.9% 16.7%
2 Pointers Made 11.5 9.4
2 Pointers Attempted 87.8 63.0
2 Point Shooting % 13.1% 15.0%
3 Pointers Made 1.9 3.5
3 Pointers Attempted 15.5 14.0
3 Point Shooting % 12.0% 24.6%
Free Throws Made 23.3 20.1
Free Throws Attempted 48.1 27.9
Free Throw % 48.4% 71.9%

Ball Control NOH GSW
Rebounds 96.6 73.3
Rebounds - Defensive 54.3 61.0
Rebounds - Offensive 42.2 12.3
Turnovers 11.9 22.5
Blocked Shots 11.1 9.3
Steals 12.2 5.7
Fouls 17.3 26.8

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NOH GSW
Total Possessions 103.1
Effective Scoring Chances 133.5 92.9

% of Possessions with NOH GSW
2 Point Attempt 58.9% 52.6%
3 Point Attempt 10.4% 11.7%
Player Fouled 26.0% 16.8%
Turnover 11.5% 21.9%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 11.8%

Odds Per Shot Taken NOH GSW
Shot Blocked 12.5% 11.1%
Offensive Rebound 40.9% 18.5%