Game Information
| Date | Wednesday, December 9, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | Target Center, Minneapolis, MN |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 711 | NOR | -3.0 | 194.5 | -138 |
| 712 | MIN | +3.0 | +125 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans | Power Rating Model | New Orleans 65% odds to win | |
| New Orleans | Similar Games - Game Winners | New Orleans 61% odds to win | |
| New Orleans | Decision Tree | New Orleans 66% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOR -3.0 | Power Rating Model | New Orleans wins by 3.7 | |
| NOR -3.0 | Similar Games - ATS | New Orleans 51% odds to cover | |
| NOR -3.0 | Decision Tree | New Orleans 51% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 194.5 | Decision Tree | 51% odds to go under 194.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOR -138 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 7% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | NOR | adv | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.040 | 0.986 | |
| Effective FG % | 50.1% | 47.5% | |
| Turnover % | 12.1% | 14.0% | |
| Off Rebound % | 24.9% | 27.1% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.242 | 0.274 | |
| Points/Game | 99.8 | 98.1 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -2.6 | -9.5 | |
| SOS PR | 100.1 | 100.0 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | NOR | adv | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.067 | 1.082 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 51.9% | 52.1% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.9% | 12.3% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.8% | 73.9% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.270 | 0.286 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 102.4 | 107.6 | |
| Block % | 4.5% | 4.2% | |
| Personal Foul % | 18.3% | 18.9% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | NOR | adv | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 33-38 | 14-56 | |
| vs Division | 5-8 | 3-12 | |
| vs Conference | 22-23 | 7-38 | |
| Streak | L3 | L12 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 0-10 | |
| Home | 21-12 | 9-25 | |
| Away | 12-26 | 5-31 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | NOR | adv | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 32-38-1 | 33-36-1 | |
| vs Division | 5-7-1 | 7-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 18-26-1 | 22-22-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 2-7-1 | |
| Home | 14-19-0 | 17-16-1 | |
| Away | 18-19-1 | 16-20-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||