Game Information
| Date | Wednesday, November 11, 2009 |
| Time | 10:30 PM |
| Location | US Airways Center, Phoenix, AZ |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 723 | NOR | +6.5 | 217.0 | +238 |
| 724 | PHO | -6.5 | -268 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix | Power Rating Model | Phoenix 84% odds to win | |
| Phoenix | Similar Games - Game Winners | Phoenix 76% odds to win | |
| Phoenix | Decision Tree | Phoenix 72% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHO -6.5 | Power Rating Model | Phoenix wins by 11.5 | |
| PHO -6.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Phoenix 50% odds to cover | |
| NOR +6.5 | Decision Tree | New Orleans 53% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 217.0 | Decision Tree | 57% odds to go under 217.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHO -268 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 11% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | NOR | adv | PHO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.041 | 1.116 | |
| Effective FG % | 50.2% | 54.2% | |
| Turnover % | 12.0% | 13.0% | |
| Off Rebound % | 24.7% | 27.8% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.241 | 0.308 | |
| Points/Game | 100.0 | 110.1 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -2.3 | +3.9 | |
| SOS PR | 100.0 | 100.4 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | NOR | adv | PHO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.065 | 1.076 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 51.8% | 49.6% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.9% | 11.1% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.9% | 70.5% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.269 | 0.292 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 102.3 | 106.1 | |
| Block % | 4.4% | 6.0% | |
| Personal Foul % | 18.3% | 18.4% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | NOR | adv | PHO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 33-37 | 42-26 | |
| vs Division | 5-8 | 11-4 | |
| vs Conference | 22-22 | 27-16 | |
| Streak | L2 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 21-12 | 26-9 | |
| Away | 12-25 | 16-17 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | NOR | adv | PHO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 32-37-1 | 39-29-0 | |
| vs Division | 5-7-1 | 8-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 18-25-1 | 26-17-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 14-19-0 | 20-15-0 | |
| Away | 18-18-1 | 19-14-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||