Game Information
| Date | Wednesday, October 28, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | AT&T Center, San Antonio, TX |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 715 | NOR | +9.5 | 187.0 | +450 |
| 716 | SAN | -9.5 | -500 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio | Power Rating Model | San Antonio 65% odds to win | |
| San Antonio | Similar Games - Game Winners | San Antonio 67% odds to win | |
| San Antonio | Decision Tree | San Antonio 72% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOR +9.5 | Power Rating Model | New Orleans loses by 3.7 | |
| SAN -9.5 | Similar Games - ATS | San Antonio 51% odds to cover | |
| NOR +9.5 | Decision Tree | New Orleans 56% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 187.0 | Decision Tree | 50% odds to go under 187.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOR +450 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 17% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | NOR | adv | SAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.044 | 1.065 | |
| Effective FG % | 50.3% | 51.2% | |
| Turnover % | 12.0% | 12.3% | |
| Off Rebound % | 24.6% | 26.6% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.242 | 0.287 | |
| Points/Game | 100.3 | 100.6 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -2.2 | +4.6 | |
| SOS PR | 99.9 | 100.3 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | NOR | adv | SAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.066 | 1.016 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 52.0% | 48.3% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 13.0% | 11.7% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.1% | 76.3% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.270 | 0.283 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 102.5 | 95.9 | |
| Block % | 4.4% | 5.8% | |
| Personal Foul % | 18.3% | 19.6% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | NOR | adv | SAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 33-36 | 40-26 | |
| vs Division | 5-8 | 8-5 | |
| vs Conference | 22-21 | 24-17 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 21-12 | 24-10 | |
| Away | 12-24 | 16-16 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | NOR | adv | SAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 31-37-1 | 33-32-1 | |
| vs Division | 5-7-1 | 8-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 17-25-1 | 21-19-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 1-8-1 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 14-19-0 | 19-14-1 | |
| Away | 17-18-1 | 14-18-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||