Game Information
| Date | Sunday, December 20, 2009 |
| Time | 12:30 PM |
| Location | Air Canada Centre, Toronto, Ont |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 501 | NOR | +1.5 | 205.5 | +105 |
| 502 | TOR | -1.5 | -116 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto | Power Rating Model | Toronto 60% odds to win | |
| New Orleans | Similar Games - Game Winners | New Orleans 53% odds to win | |
| Toronto | Decision Tree | Toronto 51% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOR -2.0 | Power Rating Model | Toronto wins by 2.3 | |
| TOR -1.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Toronto 54% odds to cover | |
| NOR +1.5 | Decision Tree | New Orleans 51% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 205.5 | Decision Tree | 53% odds to go under 205.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOR -123 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 4% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | NOR | adv | TOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.040 | 1.077 | |
| Effective FG % | 50.1% | 51.9% | |
| Turnover % | 12.1% | 12.3% | |
| Off Rebound % | 24.9% | 24.8% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.242 | 0.330 | |
| Points/Game | 99.8 | 103.8 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -2.6 | -2.0 | |
| SOS PR | 100.1 | 99.7 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | NOR | adv | TOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.067 | 1.098 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 51.9% | 50.9% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.9% | 11.2% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.8% | 72.2% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.270 | 0.316 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 102.4 | 105.8 | |
| Block % | 4.5% | 5.7% | |
| Personal Foul % | 18.3% | 20.8% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | NOR | adv | TOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 33-38 | 34-34 | |
| vs Division | 5-8 | 9-4 | |
| vs Conference | 22-23 | 25-18 | |
| Streak | L3 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 21-12 | 23-11 | |
| Away | 12-26 | 11-23 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | NOR | adv | TOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 32-38-1 | 30-38-0 | |
| vs Division | 5-7-1 | 7-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 18-26-1 | 20-23-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 14-19-0 | 16-18-0 | |
| Away | 18-19-1 | 14-20-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||