Game Information
| Date | Monday, December 14, 2009 |
| Time | 8:30 PM |
| Location | American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 507 | NOR | +8.5 | 198.5 | +389 |
| 508 | DAL | -8.5 | -455 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas | Power Rating Model | Dallas 75% odds to win | |
| Dallas | Similar Games - Game Winners | Dallas 81% odds to win | |
| Dallas | Decision Tree | Dallas 82% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOR +9.0 | Power Rating Model | New Orleans loses by 7.3 | |
| DAL -8.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Dallas 52% odds to cover | |
| NOR +8.5 | Decision Tree | New Orleans 57% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 198.5 | Decision Tree | 53% odds to go under 198.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOR +385 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 5% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | NOR | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.043 | 1.062 | |
| Effective FG % | 50.1% | 50.2% | |
| Turnover % | 11.9% | 11.6% | |
| Off Rebound % | 24.6% | 24.4% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.243 | 0.277 | |
| Points/Game | 99.9 | 101.7 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -1.9 | +2.7 | |
| SOS PR | 99.9 | 100.5 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | NOR | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.063 | 1.034 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 51.9% | 49.5% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 13.0% | 13.0% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.9% | 73.7% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.267 | 0.268 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 101.8 | 99.1 | |
| Block % | 4.6% | 6.7% | |
| Personal Foul % | 18.3% | 17.8% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | NOR | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 32-33 | 45-21 | |
| vs Division | 5-8 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 21-18 | 24-16 | |
| Streak | L1 | W13 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 10-0 | |
| Home | 21-11 | 23-9 | |
| Away | 11-22 | 22-12 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | NOR | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 30-34-1 | 28-37-1 | |
| vs Division | 5-7-1 | 4-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 16-22-1 | 15-24-1 | |
| Streak | L5 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-6-1 | 5-4-1 | |
| Home | 14-18-0 | 7-24-1 | |
| Away | 16-16-1 | 21-13-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||