Game Information
| Date | Sunday, November 29, 2009 |
| Time | 9:00 PM |
| Location | Arco Arena, Sacramento, CA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 717 | NOR | +4.0 | 208.0 | +166 |
| 718 | SAC | -4.0 | -185 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento | Power Rating Model | Sacramento 60% odds to win | |
| Sacramento | Similar Games - Game Winners | Sacramento 69% odds to win | |
| Sacramento | Decision Tree | Sacramento 60% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOR +4.0 | Power Rating Model | New Orleans loses by 2.3 | |
| SAC -4.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Sacramento 59% odds to cover | |
| NOR +4.0 | Decision Tree | New Orleans 53% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 208.0 | Decision Tree | 53% odds to go over 208.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOR +162 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 2% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | NOR | adv | SAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.041 | 1.027 | |
| Effective FG % | 50.2% | 49.2% | |
| Turnover % | 12.0% | 13.0% | |
| Off Rebound % | 24.7% | 28.1% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.241 | 0.298 | |
| Points/Game | 100.0 | 100.9 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -2.3 | -4.1 | |
| SOS PR | 100.0 | 100.0 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | NOR | adv | SAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.065 | 1.069 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 51.8% | 50.3% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.9% | 12.1% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.9% | 72.8% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.269 | 0.324 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 102.3 | 105.0 | |
| Block % | 4.4% | 5.5% | |
| Personal Foul % | 18.3% | 20.8% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | NOR | adv | SAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 33-37 | 23-46 | |
| vs Division | 5-8 | 3-10 | |
| vs Conference | 22-22 | 14-29 | |
| Streak | L2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 21-12 | 17-18 | |
| Away | 12-25 | 6-28 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | NOR | adv | SAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 32-37-1 | 34-32-3 | |
| vs Division | 5-7-1 | 4-9-0 | |
| vs Conference | 18-25-1 | 24-16-3 | |
| Streak | W1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 14-19-0 | 16-18-1 | |
| Away | 18-18-1 | 18-14-2 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||