Game Information
| Date | Sunday, November 22, 2009 |
| Time | 6:00 PM |
| Location | American Airlines Arena, Miami, FL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 507 | NOR | +10.0 | 192.5 | +463 |
| 508 | MIA | -10.0 | -553 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | Power Rating Model | Miami 64% odds to win | |
| Miami | Similar Games - Game Winners | Miami 92% odds to win | |
| Miami | Decision Tree | Miami 80% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOR +10.0 | Power Rating Model | New Orleans loses by 3.3 | |
| NOR +10.0 | Similar Games - ATS | New Orleans 54% odds to cover | |
| NOR +10.0 | Decision Tree | New Orleans 53% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 192.5 | Decision Tree | 52% odds to go under 192.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOR +523 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 20% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | NOR | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.040 | 1.029 | |
| Effective FG % | 50.1% | 49.0% | |
| Turnover % | 12.1% | 11.7% | |
| Off Rebound % | 24.9% | 25.8% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.242 | 0.295 | |
| Points/Game | 99.8 | 96.0 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -2.6 | +1.0 | |
| SOS PR | 100.1 | 100.4 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | NOR | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.067 | 1.018 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 51.9% | 48.2% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.9% | 13.4% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.8% | 74.9% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.270 | 0.328 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 102.4 | 94.9 | |
| Block % | 4.5% | 7.2% | |
| Personal Foul % | 18.3% | 20.3% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | NOR | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 33-38 | 36-34 | |
| vs Division | 5-8 | 9-7 | |
| vs Conference | 22-23 | 22-19 | |
| Streak | L3 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 21-12 | 21-16 | |
| Away | 12-26 | 15-18 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | NOR | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 32-38-1 | 34-35-1 | |
| vs Division | 5-7-1 | 8-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 18-26-1 | 20-20-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 5-4-1 | |
| Home | 14-19-0 | 17-19-1 | |
| Away | 18-19-1 | 17-16-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||