Game Information
| Date | Sunday, November 1, 2009 |
| Time | 6:00 PM |
| Location | TD Banknorth Garden, Boston, MA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 703 | NOR | +11.0 | 185.5 | +615 |
| 704 | BOS | -11.0 | -675 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boston | Power Rating Model | Boston 79% odds to win | |
| Boston | Similar Games - Game Winners | Boston 69% odds to win | |
| Boston | Decision Tree | Boston 83% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOR +11.0 | Power Rating Model | New Orleans loses by 8.9 | |
| BOS -11.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Boston 54% odds to cover | |
| NOR +11.0 | Decision Tree | New Orleans 55% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 185.5 | Decision Tree | 57% odds to go under 185.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOR +615 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 7% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | NOR | adv | BOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.040 | 1.046 | |
| Effective FG % | 50.1% | 52.5% | |
| Turnover % | 12.1% | 14.0% | |
| Off Rebound % | 24.9% | 22.6% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.242 | 0.330 | |
| Points/Game | 99.8 | 98.8 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -2.6 | +4.7 | |
| SOS PR | 100.1 | 100.2 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | NOR | adv | BOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.067 | 0.997 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 51.9% | 48.2% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.9% | 14.5% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.8% | 74.1% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.270 | 0.332 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 102.4 | 94.1 | |
| Block % | 4.5% | 6.4% | |
| Personal Foul % | 18.3% | 20.7% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | NOR | adv | BOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 33-38 | 45-24 | |
| vs Division | 5-8 | 12-2 | |
| vs Conference | 22-23 | 30-15 | |
| Streak | L3 | W4 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 21-12 | 21-12 | |
| Away | 12-26 | 24-12 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | NOR | adv | BOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 32-38-1 | 29-38-2 | |
| vs Division | 5-7-1 | 7-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 18-26-1 | 21-23-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | W4 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 6-3-1 | |
| Home | 14-19-0 | 10-22-1 | |
| Away | 18-19-1 | 19-16-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||