Game Information
| Date | Wednesday, November 4, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Verizon Center, Washington, DC |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 505 | MIA | +2.0 | 195.0 | +121 |
| 506 | WAS | -2.0 | -131 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | Power Rating Model | Miami 51% odds to win | |
| Washington | Similar Games - Game Winners | Washington 73% odds to win | |
| Washington | Decision Tree | Washington 52% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA +2.0 | Power Rating Model | Miami wins by 0.2 | |
| WAS -2.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Washington 55% odds to cover | |
| WAS -2.0 | Decision Tree | Washington 51% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 195.0 | Decision Tree | 52% odds to go under 195.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA +121 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 6% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MIA | adv | WAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.029 | 1.012 | |
| Effective FG % | 49.0% | 47.8% | |
| Turnover % | 11.7% | 13.0% | |
| Off Rebound % | 25.8% | 27.7% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.295 | 0.288 | |
| Points/Game | 96.0 | 96.3 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +1.0 | -4.7 | |
| SOS PR | 100.4 | 99.5 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MIA | adv | WAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.018 | 1.062 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 48.2% | 49.9% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 13.4% | 11.9% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.9% | 72.3% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.328 | 0.313 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 94.9 | 101.1 | |
| Block % | 7.2% | 6.5% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.3% | 20.1% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | WAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 36-34 | 21-46 | |
| vs Division | 9-7 | 3-9 | |
| vs Conference | 22-19 | 15-27 | |
| Streak | W1 | L10 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 0-10 | |
| Home | 21-16 | 12-22 | |
| Away | 15-18 | 9-24 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | WAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 34-35-1 | 28-37-2 | |
| vs Division | 8-7-1 | 5-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 20-20-1 | 18-24-0 | |
| Streak | P1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-4-1 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 17-19-1 | 13-21-0 | |
| Away | 17-16-0 | 15-16-2 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||