Game Information
| Date | Tuesday, December 1, 2009 |
| Time | 10:00 PM |
| Location | Rose Garden, Portland, OR |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 709 | MIA | +6.5 | 183.0 | +236 |
| 710 | POR | -6.5 | -260 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | Power Rating Model | Portland 72% odds to win | |
| Portland | Similar Games - Game Winners | Portland 78% odds to win | |
| Portland | Decision Tree | Portland 72% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA +6.5 | Power Rating Model | Miami loses by 6.4 | |
| POR -6.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Portland 58% odds to cover | |
| MIA +6.5 | Decision Tree | Miami 54% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 183.0 | Decision Tree | 59% odds to go under 183.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MIA | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.029 | 1.076 | |
| Effective FG % | 49.0% | 49.9% | |
| Turnover % | 11.7% | 11.5% | |
| Off Rebound % | 25.8% | 28.3% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.295 | 0.323 | |
| Points/Game | 96.0 | 98.1 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +1.0 | +3.1 | |
| SOS PR | 100.4 | 100.2 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MIA | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.018 | 1.041 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 48.2% | 50.3% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 13.4% | 12.8% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.9% | 74.6% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.328 | 0.295 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 94.9 | 94.9 | |
| Block % | 7.2% | 5.4% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.3% | 20.8% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 36-34 | 42-28 | |
| vs Division | 9-7 | 6-7 | |
| vs Conference | 22-19 | 26-15 | |
| Streak | W1 | W5 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 21-16 | 23-13 | |
| Away | 15-18 | 19-15 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 34-35-1 | 37-32-1 | |
| vs Division | 8-7-1 | 6-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 20-20-1 | 22-18-1 | |
| Streak | P1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-4-1 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 17-19-1 | 16-19-1 | |
| Away | 17-16-0 | 21-13-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||