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Miami at Toronto

  Friday Mar 30, 2012 - 7:00 pm - Toronto, Ont | Odds: Miami by 7, Total Points: 191 | Team Pages: MIA | TOR

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIA TOR
Points 110.3 101.1
Total Points   211.3
Points From 2-Pointers 49.5 59.0
Points From 3-Pointers 46.9 13.1
Points From Free Throws 13.9 29.0

Shooting MIA TOR
Field Goals Made 40.4 33.9
Field Goals Attempted 89.0 87.2
Field Goal % 45.4% 38.9%
2 Pointers Made 24.7 29.5
2 Pointers Attempted 59.9 63.1
2 Point Shooting % 41.3% 46.8%
3 Pointers Made 15.6 4.4
3 Pointers Attempted 29.1 24.1
3 Point Shooting % 53.6% 18.1%
Free Throws Made 13.9 29.0
Free Throws Attempted 16.0 35.4
Free Throw % 87.0% 81.8%

Ball Control MIA TOR
Rebounds 52.8 50.7
Rebounds - Defensive 37.1 31.9
Rebounds - Offensive 15.7 18.8
Turnovers 14.7 7.2
Blocked Shots 7.7 13.8
Steals 6.3 9.9
Fouls 15.7 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Miami

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIA TOR
Total Possessions 95.2
Effective Scoring Chances 96.3 106.8

% of Possessions with MIA TOR
2 Point Attempt 51.4% 53.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 20.6%
Player Fouled 15.2% 16.5%
Turnover 15.4% 7.6%
Opponent Steal 10.4% 6.6%

Odds Per Shot Taken MIA TOR
Shot Blocked 16.3% 9.1%
Offensive Rebound 33.0% 33.7%