Game Information
| Date | Friday, November 20, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Air Canada Centre, Toronto, Ont |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 501 | MIA | +3.0 | 201.0 | +146 |
| 502 | TOR | -3.0 | -162 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto | Power Rating Model | Toronto 61% odds to win | |
| Miami | Similar Games - Game Winners | Miami 51% odds to win | |
| Miami | Decision Tree | Miami 51% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOR -2.5 | Power Rating Model | Toronto wins by 2.6 | |
| MIA +3.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Miami 55% odds to cover | |
| MIA +3.0 | Decision Tree | Miami 56% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 201.0 | Decision Tree | 51% odds to go under 201.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOR -140 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 2% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MIA | adv | TOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.029 | 1.077 | |
| Effective FG % | 49.0% | 51.9% | |
| Turnover % | 11.7% | 12.3% | |
| Off Rebound % | 25.8% | 24.8% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.295 | 0.330 | |
| Points/Game | 96.0 | 103.8 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +1.0 | -2.0 | |
| SOS PR | 100.4 | 99.7 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MIA | adv | TOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.018 | 1.098 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 48.2% | 50.9% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 13.4% | 11.2% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.9% | 72.2% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.328 | 0.316 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 94.9 | 105.8 | |
| Block % | 7.2% | 5.7% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.3% | 20.8% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | TOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 36-34 | 34-34 | |
| vs Division | 9-7 | 9-4 | |
| vs Conference | 22-19 | 25-18 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 21-16 | 23-11 | |
| Away | 15-18 | 11-23 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | TOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 34-35-1 | 30-38-0 | |
| vs Division | 8-7-1 | 7-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 20-20-1 | 20-23-0 | |
| Streak | P1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-4-1 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 17-19-1 | 16-18-0 | |
| Away | 17-16-0 | 14-20-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||