Game Information
| Date | Friday, October 30, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | Conseco Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 711 | MIA | +2.0 | 213.0 | +116 |
| 712 | IND | -2.0 | -126 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana | Power Rating Model | Indiana 52% odds to win | |
| Indiana | Similar Games - Game Winners | Indiana 67% odds to win | |
| Miami | Decision Tree | Miami 53% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA +2.0 | Power Rating Model | Miami loses by 0.3 | |
| IND -2.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Indiana 53% odds to cover | |
| IND -2.0 | Decision Tree | Indiana 50% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 213.0 | Decision Tree | 52% odds to go under 213.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA +116 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 2% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MIA | adv | IND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.033 | 0.993 | |
| Effective FG % | 49.2% | 48.2% | |
| Turnover % | 11.8% | 13.3% | |
| Off Rebound % | 25.9% | 21.6% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.296 | 0.292 | |
| Points/Game | 96.3 | 99.6 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +1.1 | -5.2 | |
| SOS PR | 100.4 | 99.7 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MIA | adv | IND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.021 | 1.045 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 48.4% | 49.2% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 13.3% | 12.7% | |
| Def Rebound % | 75.0% | 73.4% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.331 | 0.356 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 95.3 | 104.8 | |
| Block % | 7.0% | 6.6% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.2% | 20.9% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | IND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 34-32 | 21-44 | |
| vs Division | 8-6 | 3-8 | |
| vs Conference | 20-18 | 16-23 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 2-8 | |
| Home | 19-14 | 14-16 | |
| Away | 15-18 | 7-28 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | IND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 33-33-0 | 29-36-0 | |
| vs Division | 8-6-0 | 3-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 19-19-0 | 18-21-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 16-17-0 | 14-16-0 | |
| Away | 17-16-0 | 15-20-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||