Miami at Denver: Recap

Friday Jan 13, 2012 10:30 pm - Denver, CO
Odds: Miami by 3.5, Total Points: 210

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 56.4%
DEN 43.6%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
DEN +3.5 MIA 42.2%
DEN 57.8%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 210.0 Over 54.0%
Under 46.0%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
DEN +145 MIA -5.3%
DEN +2.8%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 103.3 106.8 104
DEN 102.0 103.2 117

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA DEN
Points/Game 110.1 114.9
Avg Score Margin +1.8 +5.3
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 12.8 14.3
Pts in Paint/Gm 47.2 53.4
Assists/Game 25.8 29.5
Total Rebounds/Gm 49.7 52.4
Effective FG % 53.8% 56.2%
Off Rebound % 21.8% 25.5%
FTA/FGA 0.257 0.224
Turnover % 11.6% 11.4%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA DEN
Opp Points/Game 108.4 109.6
Opp Effective FG % 54.3% 52.6%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 46.3 50.3
Off Rebounds/Gm 9.3 10.7
Def Rebounds/Gm 33.0 33.7
Blocks/Game 3.4 5.6
Steals/Game 7.5 7.1
Personal Fouls/Gm 17.3 18.2