Game Information
| Date | Thursday, December 3, 2009 |
| Time | 10:30 PM |
| Location | Pepsi Center, Denver, CO |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 705 | MIA | +9.0 | 211.0 | +360 |
| 706 | DEN | -9.0 | -405 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver | Power Rating Model | Denver 70% odds to win | |
| Denver | Similar Games - Game Winners | Denver 93% odds to win | |
| Denver | Decision Tree | Denver 81% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA +9.0 | Power Rating Model | Miami loses by 5.3 | |
| DEN -9.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Denver 59% odds to cover | |
| MIA +9.0 | Decision Tree | Miami 51% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 211.0 | Decision Tree | 51% odds to go under 211.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA +388 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 10% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MIA | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.034 | 1.091 | |
| Effective FG % | 49.3% | 51.6% | |
| Turnover % | 11.8% | 12.8% | |
| Off Rebound % | 25.9% | 26.3% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.296 | 0.384 | |
| Points/Game | 96.5 | 108.1 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +1.3 | +5.1 | |
| SOS PR | 100.3 | 100.5 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MIA | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.021 | 1.039 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 48.3% | 49.5% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 13.3% | 13.2% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.9% | 72.6% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.329 | 0.323 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 95.2 | 102.9 | |
| Block % | 7.0% | 6.1% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.1% | 20.4% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 35-32 | 45-22 | |
| vs Division | 8-6 | 10-4 | |
| vs Conference | 21-18 | 28-15 | |
| Streak | W3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 20-14 | 28-5 | |
| Away | 15-18 | 17-17 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 34-33-0 | 31-31-5 | |
| vs Division | 8-6-0 | 6-5-3 | |
| vs Conference | 20-19-0 | 18-20-5 | |
| Streak | W3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-1-1 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-4-2 | |
| Home | 17-17-0 | 17-15-1 | |
| Away | 17-16-0 | 14-16-4 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||