Miami at Dallas: Recap

Sunday Dec 25, 2011 2:30 pm - Dallas, TX
Odds: Miami by 4.5, Total Points: 188.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 58.9%
DAL 41.1%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIA -4.0 MIA 51.5%
DAL 48.5%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 188.0 Over 45.6%
Under 54.4%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
DAL +162 MIA -13.9%
DAL +11.5%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 95.0 96.0 105
DAL 91.4 92.0 94

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA DAL
Points/Game 110.1 117.9
Avg Score Margin +1.7 +2.2
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 12.8 15.8
Pts in Paint/Gm 47.2 47.4
Assists/Game 25.8 25.7
Total Rebounds/Gm 49.8 50.7
Effective FG % 53.7% 56.2%
Off Rebound % 22.0% 22.2%
FTA/FGA 0.257 0.251
Turnover % 11.6% 11.1%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA DAL
Opp Points/Game 108.3 115.6
Opp Effective FG % 54.2% 54.8%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 46.3 51.0
Off Rebounds/Gm 9.4 9.7
Def Rebounds/Gm 32.9 33.2
Blocks/Game 3.4 5.0
Steals/Game 7.6 6.9
Personal Fouls/Gm 17.3 18.3