Game Information
| Date | Wednesday, November 25, 2009 |
| Time | 7:30 PM |
| Location | Amway Arena, Orlando, FL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 707 | MIA | +9.5 | 192.5 | +483 |
| 708 | ORL | -9.5 | -580 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando | Power Rating Model | Orlando 78% odds to win | |
| Orlando | Similar Games - Game Winners | Orlando 91% odds to win | |
| Orlando | Decision Tree | Orlando 86% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA +9.5 | Power Rating Model | Miami loses by 8.5 | |
| ORL -9.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Orlando 54% odds to cover | |
| ORL -9.5 | Decision Tree | Orlando 50% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 192.5 | Decision Tree | 55% odds to go under 192.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA +483 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 5% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MIA | adv | ORL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.031 | 1.073 | |
| Effective FG % | 49.1% | 52.9% | |
| Turnover % | 11.8% | 13.3% | |
| Off Rebound % | 25.7% | 24.4% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.296 | 0.344 | |
| Points/Game | 96.2 | 101.9 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +1.1 | +6.9 | |
| SOS PR | 100.3 | 100.2 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MIA | adv | ORL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.020 | 1.000 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 48.4% | 47.5% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 13.4% | 11.7% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.9% | 77.4% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.327 | 0.272 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 95.1 | 95.0 | |
| Block % | 7.0% | 6.7% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.1% | 19.1% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | ORL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 35-33 | 48-21 | |
| vs Division | 8-6 | 8-5 | |
| vs Conference | 21-18 | 32-12 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 9-1 | |
| Home | 20-15 | 28-7 | |
| Away | 15-18 | 20-14 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | ORL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 34-34-0 | 37-31-1 | |
| vs Division | 8-6-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 20-19-0 | 25-19-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 17-18-0 | 20-15-0 | |
| Away | 17-16-0 | 17-16-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||