Game Information
| Date | Friday, December 4, 2009 |
| Time | 10:30 PM |
| Location | Staples Center, Los Angeles, CA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 519 | MIA | +12.5 | 199.0 | +720 |
| 520 | LAL | -12.5 | -925 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| LA Lakers | Power Rating Model | LA Lakers 77% odds to win | |
| LA Lakers | Similar Games - Game Winners | LA Lakers 94% odds to win | |
| LA Lakers | Decision Tree | LA Lakers 83% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA +12.5 | Power Rating Model | Miami loses by 8.2 | |
| MIA +12.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Miami 53% odds to cover | |
| MIA +12.5 | Decision Tree | Miami 50% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 199.0 | Decision Tree | 50% odds to go over 199.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA +925 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 13% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MIA | adv | LAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.029 | 1.061 | |
| Effective FG % | 49.0% | 49.9% | |
| Turnover % | 11.7% | 12.1% | |
| Off Rebound % | 25.8% | 27.5% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.295 | 0.289 | |
| Points/Game | 96.0 | 102.9 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +1.0 | +6.0 | |
| SOS PR | 100.4 | 100.5 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MIA | adv | LAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.018 | 0.999 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 48.2% | 48.0% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 13.4% | 12.7% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.9% | 74.5% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.328 | 0.263 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 94.9 | 96.9 | |
| Block % | 7.2% | 5.8% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.3% | 17.9% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | LAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 36-34 | 52-18 | |
| vs Division | 9-7 | 12-2 | |
| vs Conference | 22-19 | 30-11 | |
| Streak | W1 | W6 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 21-16 | 32-5 | |
| Away | 15-18 | 20-13 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | LAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 34-35-1 | 29-38-3 | |
| vs Division | 8-7-1 | 7-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 20-20-1 | 17-23-1 | |
| Streak | P1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-4-1 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 17-19-1 | 15-20-2 | |
| Away | 17-16-0 | 14-18-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||