Game Information
| Date | Friday, December 25, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Madison Square Garden, New York, NY |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 501 | MIA | +2.5 | 198.0 | +114 |
| 502 | NYC | -2.5 | -126 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | Power Rating Model | Miami 51% odds to win | |
| Miami | Similar Games - Game Winners | Miami 52% odds to win | |
| New York | Decision Tree | New York 62% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA +2.5 | Power Rating Model | Miami wins by 0.3 | |
| NYC -2.5 | Similar Games - ATS | New York 61% odds to cover | |
| NYC -2.5 | Decision Tree | New York 53% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 198.0 | Decision Tree | 51% odds to go over 198.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA +121 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 6% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MIA | adv | NYC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.031 | 1.042 | |
| Effective FG % | 49.1% | 50.7% | |
| Turnover % | 11.8% | 12.4% | |
| Off Rebound % | 25.8% | 22.7% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.295 | 0.249 | |
| Points/Game | 96.2 | 101.6 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +1.0 | -3.0 | |
| SOS PR | 100.4 | 99.3 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MIA | adv | NYC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.021 | 1.072 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 48.4% | 51.6% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 13.3% | 13.0% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.8% | 71.8% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.326 | 0.275 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 95.3 | 104.6 | |
| Block % | 7.0% | 4.8% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.2% | 18.2% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | NYC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 35-34 | 24-44 | |
| vs Division | 8-7 | 4-9 | |
| vs Conference | 21-19 | 17-28 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 20-16 | 14-21 | |
| Away | 15-18 | 10-23 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | NYC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 34-35-0 | 31-36-1 | |
| vs Division | 8-7-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 20-20-0 | 20-25-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-4-1 | |
| Home | 17-19-0 | 16-19-0 | |
| Away | 17-16-0 | 15-17-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||