Game Information
| Date | Sunday, December 6, 2009 |
| Time | 9:00 PM |
| Location | Arco Arena, Sacramento, CA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 507 | MIA | -1.5 | 204.0 | -119 |
| 508 | SAC | +1.5 | +108 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento | Power Rating Model | Sacramento 59% odds to win | |
| Sacramento | Similar Games - Game Winners | Sacramento 58% odds to win | |
| Miami | Decision Tree | Miami 50% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAC +1.5 | Power Rating Model | Sacramento wins by 2.1 | |
| SAC +1.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Sacramento 54% odds to cover | |
| MIA -1.5 | Decision Tree | Miami 53% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 204.0 | Decision Tree | 53% odds to go under 204.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAC +107 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 10% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MIA | adv | SAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.031 | 1.028 | |
| Effective FG % | 49.1% | 49.3% | |
| Turnover % | 11.8% | 13.0% | |
| Off Rebound % | 25.8% | 28.2% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.295 | 0.298 | |
| Points/Game | 96.2 | 100.8 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +1.0 | -4.1 | |
| SOS PR | 100.4 | 100.0 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MIA | adv | SAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.021 | 1.070 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 48.4% | 50.3% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 13.3% | 12.0% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.8% | 72.7% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.326 | 0.325 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 95.3 | 104.9 | |
| Block % | 7.0% | 5.5% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.2% | 20.8% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | SAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 35-34 | 23-45 | |
| vs Division | 8-7 | 3-10 | |
| vs Conference | 21-19 | 14-29 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 20-16 | 17-17 | |
| Away | 15-18 | 6-28 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | SAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 34-35-0 | 34-31-3 | |
| vs Division | 8-7-0 | 4-9-0 | |
| vs Conference | 20-20-0 | 24-16-3 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 17-19-0 | 16-17-1 | |
| Away | 17-16-0 | 18-14-2 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||