Game Information
| Date | Tuesday, December 22, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | Target Center, Minneapolis, MN |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 509 | ATL | -8.5 | 201.5 | -375 |
| 510 | MIN | +8.5 | +326 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | Power Rating Model | Atlanta 79% odds to win | |
| Atlanta | Similar Games - Game Winners | Atlanta 74% odds to win | |
| Atlanta | Decision Tree | Atlanta 71% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATL -8.5 | Power Rating Model | Atlanta wins by 9.0 | |
| ATL -8.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Atlanta 57% odds to cover | |
| MIN +8.5 | Decision Tree | Minnesota 52% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 201.5 | Decision Tree | 53% odds to go over 201.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIN +377 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 0% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | ATL | adv | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.088 | 0.986 | |
| Effective FG % | 50.5% | 47.5% | |
| Turnover % | 10.9% | 14.0% | |
| Off Rebound % | 28.0% | 27.1% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.289 | 0.274 | |
| Points/Game | 102.3 | 98.1 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +4.8 | -9.5 | |
| SOS PR | 100.1 | 100.0 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | ATL | adv | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.036 | 1.082 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.9% | 52.1% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.8% | 12.3% | |
| Def Rebound % | 72.4% | 73.9% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.278 | 0.286 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 97.5 | 107.6 | |
| Block % | 6.3% | 4.2% | |
| Personal Foul % | 19.0% | 18.9% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | ATL | adv | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 44-24 | 14-56 | |
| vs Division | 6-7 | 3-12 | |
| vs Conference | 25-15 | 7-38 | |
| Streak | W1 | L12 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 0-10 | |
| Home | 27-7 | 9-25 | |
| Away | 17-17 | 5-31 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | ATL | adv | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 39-29-0 | 33-36-1 | |
| vs Division | 4-9-0 | 7-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 24-16-0 | 22-22-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 2-7-1 | |
| Home | 20-14-0 | 17-16-1 | |
| Away | 19-15-0 | 16-20-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||