Game Information
| Date | Friday, December 11, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Air Canada Centre, Toronto, Ont |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 705 | ATL | -3.5 | 209.0 | -150 |
| 706 | TOR | +3.5 | +136 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | Power Rating Model | Atlanta 63% odds to win | |
| Atlanta | Similar Games - Game Winners | Atlanta 58% odds to win | |
| Atlanta | Decision Tree | Atlanta 61% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOR +4.0 | Power Rating Model | Toronto loses by 3.2 | |
| ATL -3.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Atlanta 59% odds to cover | |
| TOR +3.5 | Decision Tree | Toronto 51% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 209.0 | Decision Tree | 55% odds to go under 209.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATL -165 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | ATL | adv | TOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.086 | 1.077 | |
| Effective FG % | 50.2% | 51.8% | |
| Turnover % | 10.8% | 12.3% | |
| Off Rebound % | 28.0% | 24.8% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.292 | 0.333 | |
| Points/Game | 102.1 | 104.0 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +4.5 | -1.6 | |
| SOS PR | 100.3 | 99.7 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | ATL | adv | TOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.037 | 1.094 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 50.1% | 51.0% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.9% | 11.3% | |
| Def Rebound % | 72.7% | 72.8% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.276 | 0.318 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 97.6 | 105.6 | |
| Block % | 6.3% | 5.9% | |
| Personal Foul % | 19.0% | 20.8% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | ATL | adv | TOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 41-23 | 32-31 | |
| vs Division | 5-7 | 8-4 | |
| vs Conference | 22-14 | 23-18 | |
| Streak | W1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 25-7 | 22-10 | |
| Away | 16-16 | 10-21 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | ATL | adv | TOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 36-28-0 | 29-34-0 | |
| vs Division | 4-8-0 | 6-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 21-15-0 | 19-22-0 | |
| Streak | L4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 19-13-0 | 16-16-0 | |
| Away | 17-15-0 | 13-18-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||