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Atlanta at Detroit

  Friday Jan 27, 2012 - 7:30 pm - Auburn Hills, MI | Odds: Atlanta by 6, Total Points: 179.5 | Team Pages: ATL | DET

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL DET
Points 98.8 95.1
Total Points   193.9
Points From 2-Pointers 59.8 55.2
Points From 3-Pointers 28.9 26.0
Points From Free Throws 10.1 13.9

Shooting ATL DET
Field Goals Made 39.5 36.3
Field Goals Attempted 81.3 97.5
Field Goal % 48.6% 37.2%
2 Pointers Made 29.9 27.6
2 Pointers Attempted 63.2 68.5
2 Point Shooting % 47.3% 40.3%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 18.1 29.0
3 Point Shooting % 53.3% 29.9%
Free Throws Made 10.1 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 23.3
Free Throw % 52.9% 59.7%

Ball Control ATL DET
Rebounds 53.7 58.7
Rebounds - Defensive 45.7 38.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 20.7
Turnovers 14.5 6.6
Blocked Shots 3.4 9.0
Steals 5.0 6.2
Fouls 17.7 22.4

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL DET
Total Possessions 97.3
Effective Scoring Chances 90.8 111.5

% of Possessions with ATL DET
2 Point Attempt 58.1% 57.4%
3 Point Attempt 16.6% 24.3%
Player Fouled 23.0% 18.2%
Turnover 14.9% 6.7%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 5.1%

Odds Per Shot Taken ATL DET
Shot Blocked 9.3% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 17.3% 31.2%