| Date | Sunday, November 29, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Palace of Auburn Hills, Auburn Hills, MI |
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 701 | ATL | -6.5 | 187.5 | -265 |
| 702 | DET | +6.5 | +235 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | Power Rating Model | Atlanta 64% odds to win | |
| Atlanta | Similar Games - Game Winners | Atlanta 71% odds to win | |
| Atlanta | Decision Tree | Atlanta 69% odds to win |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET +6.5 | Power Rating Model | Detroit loses by 3.4 | |
| ATL -6.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Atlanta 56% odds to cover | |
| DET +6.5 | Decision Tree | Detroit 54% odds to cover |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 187.5 | Decision Tree | 53% odds to go under 187.5 points |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET +235 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 6% different from model |
| Stat | ATL | adv | DET |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.089 | 1.016 | |
| Effective FG % | 50.5% | 47.0% | |
| Turnover % | 10.9% | 12.5% | |
| Off Rebound % | 28.2% | 30.9% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.289 | 0.306 | |
| Points/Game | 102.5 | 93.4 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +4.8 | -5.3 | |
| SOS PR | 100.2 | 99.7 |
| Stat | ATL | adv | DET |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.038 | 1.073 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 50.0% | 51.9% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.8% | 13.4% | |
| Def Rebound % | 72.5% | 73.7% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.279 | 0.347 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 97.7 | 98.7 | |
| Block % | 6.2% | 5.2% | |
| Personal Foul % | 19.0% | 22.2% |
| Record | ATL | adv | DET |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 45-24 | 23-47 | |
| vs Division | 6-7 | 2-12 | |
| vs Conference | 25-15 | 15-27 | |
| Streak | W2 | L5 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 2-8 | |
| Home | 28-7 | 16-19 | |
| Away | 17-17 | 7-28 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
| Record | ATL | adv | DET |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 40-29-0 | 28-40-2 | |
| vs Division | 4-9-0 | 3-10-1 | |
| vs Conference | 24-16-0 | 16-24-2 | |
| Streak | W1 | L5 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 0-5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 21-14-0 | 15-19-1 | |
| Away | 19-15-0 | 13-21-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||